Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.003390 0.003557 0.003728 0.003916 0.004116 0.004325 0.004559
2025-03-16 0.003080 0.003327 0.003589 0.003890 0.004225 0.004590 0.005019
2025-03-23 0.002856 0.003145 0.003460 0.003831 0.004258 0.004738 0.005321
2025-03-30 0.002688 0.003004 0.003356 0.003781 0.004283 0.004860 0.005583
2025-04-06 0.002578 0.002919 0.003306 0.003782 0.004356 0.005034 0.005904
2025-04-13 0.002415 0.002761 0.003160 0.003658 0.004270 0.005005 0.005969
2025-04-20 0.002339 0.002702 0.003126 0.003663 0.004334 0.005158 0.006263
2025-04-27 0.002298 0.002681 0.003134 0.003718 0.004460 0.005389 0.006665
2025-05-04 0.002215 0.002605 0.003072 0.003680 0.004466 0.005465 0.006862
2025-05-11 0.002147 0.002543 0.003024 0.003657 0.004486 0.005557 0.007085
2025-05-18 0.002082 0.002484 0.002975 0.003631 0.004500 0.005639 0.007293
2025-05-25 0.002057 0.002473 0.002987 0.003681 0.004614 0.005860 0.007704
2025-06-01 0.002005 0.002427 0.002952 0.003670 0.004648 0.005972 0.007970
2025-06-08 0.001950 0.002375 0.002908 0.003645 0.004660 0.006055 0.008196
2025-06-15 0.001887 0.002310 0.002845 0.003591 0.004630 0.006075 0.008327
2025-06-22 0.001831 0.002252 0.002790 0.003545 0.004609 0.006105 0.008474
2025-06-29 0.001796 0.002222 0.002770 0.003546 0.004652 0.006230 0.008771
2025-07-06 0.001719 0.002134 0.002669 0.003433 0.004528 0.006103 0.008665
2025-07-13 0.001690 0.002109 0.002653 0.003437 0.004573 0.006228 0.008964
2025-07-20 0.001680 0.002108 0.002670 0.003487 0.004686 0.006459 0.009449
2025-07-27 0.001640 0.002066 0.002629 0.003453 0.004673 0.006496 0.009613
2025-08-03 0.001606 0.002032 0.002598 0.003432 0.004677 0.006560 0.009826
2025-08-10 0.001573 0.001997 0.002565 0.003407 0.004677 0.006615 0.010024